Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-11-20, U.S. Bank Arena were:
Chalk Dust Torture (11, 4 shows)
Harry Hood (11, 4 shows)
Ocelot (10, 6.6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (10, 4.5 shows)
Stash (9, 5.9 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (9, 37.6 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (8, 8.6 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (8, 12.3 shows)
The Moma Dance (8, 4.5 shows)
Piper (8, 5.5 shows)
NICU (7, 10.1 shows)
Prince Caspian (7, 7.5 shows)
Alaska (6, 15.4 shows)
Rock and Roll (6, 9.5 shows)
Silent in the Morning (6, 11.5 shows)
The Horse (6, 14.7 shows)
Joy (6, 11.7 shows)
Tube (6, 5.4 shows)
Farmhouse (5, 13.3 shows)
First Tube (5, 6.6 shows)
Ya Mar (5, 13.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 7.6 shows)
Drowned (4, 28.2 shows)
A Day in the Life (4, 22.5 shows)
I Didn't Know (4, 21.1 shows)
Beauty of a Broken Heart (4, 45.1 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (4, 10.9 shows)
Guyute (4, 21.1 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (3, 26 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (3, 15.7 shows)
Frankenstein (3, 42.3 shows)
Seven Below (3, 19.9 shows)
Twist (3, 5.1 shows)
Gumbo (3, 11.9 shows)
Twenty Years Later (3, 14.4 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (3, 9.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 37% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.