Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-11-18, Cobo Arena were:
Alaska (6, 15.4 shows)
Rock and Roll (6, 9.5 shows)
Silent in the Morning (6, 11.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (6, 4.9 shows)
The Horse (6, 14.7 shows)
Tube (6, 5.4 shows)
Farmhouse (5, 13.3 shows)
Taste (5, 14.7 shows)
First Tube (5, 6.6 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 7.6 shows)
Ya Mar (5, 13.8 shows)
Drowned (4, 28.2 shows)
Guyute (4, 21.1 shows)
Waste (4, 12.8 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (4, 10.9 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 10.9 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (4, 14.4 shows)
A Day in the Life (4, 22.5 shows)
Foam (4, 20.5 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (3, 15.7 shows)
Twenty Years Later (3, 14.4 shows)
Frankenstein (3, 42.3 shows)
Seven Below (3, 19.9 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (3, 9.1 shows)
Birds of a Feather (3, 8.1 shows)
Twist (3, 5.1 shows)
While My Guitar Gently Weeps (3, 56.3 shows)
46 Days (3, 4.6 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (3, 26 shows)
Waves (3, 16.9 shows)
Bug (3, 10.4 shows)
Gumbo (3, 11.9 shows)
Horn (3, 15.7 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (3, 37.6 shows)
Dirt (2, 23.3 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (2, 35.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 38% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.