Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-10-31, Empire Polo Club were:
Divided Sky (8, 7.3 shows)
Sample in a Jar (8, 7 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (8, 6.3 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 4.8 shows)
Wilson (7, 7.1 shows)
Limb By Limb (7, 9.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 5.2 shows)
The Squirming Coil (6, 11.1 shows)
Loving Cup (6, 9.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 8.5 shows)
Fluffhead (6, 7.6 shows)
Silent in the Morning (6, 11.5 shows)
Free (6, 4.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (6, 7.6 shows)
Ghost (6, 4.5 shows)
Mike's Song (6, 5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (6, 4.9 shows)
The Horse (6, 14.7 shows)
Train Song (5, 30.7 shows)
Water in the Sky (5, 17.8 shows)
First Tube (5, 6.6 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 7.3 shows)
Back on the Train (5, 5.6 shows)
Reba (5, 7.5 shows)
Lawn Boy (5, 10.6 shows)
Farmhouse (5, 13.3 shows)
Ya Mar (5, 13.8 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (4, 6.6 shows)
Waste (4, 12.8 shows)
Split Open and Melt (4, 8.8 shows)
Heavy Things (4, 11.5 shows)
Drowned (4, 28.2 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (4, 14.4 shows)
Maze (4, 6.8 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 10.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 30% of the actual 33-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.