Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-10-30, Empire Polo Club were:
Wolfman's Brother (9, 4.5 shows)
Divided Sky (8, 7.3 shows)
Sample in a Jar (8, 7 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (8, 6.3 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 4.8 shows)
Limb By Limb (7, 9.9 shows)
The Horse (6, 14.7 shows)
The Squirming Coil (6, 11.1 shows)
Loving Cup (6, 9.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 8.5 shows)
Silent in the Morning (6, 11.5 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 5.2 shows)
Free (6, 4.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (6, 7.5 shows)
Mike's Song (6, 5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (6, 4.9 shows)
Fluffhead (6, 7.6 shows)
Train Song (5, 30.7 shows)
First Tube (5, 6.6 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 7.3 shows)
Back on the Train (5, 5.6 shows)
Joy (5, 11.7 shows)
Reba (5, 7.5 shows)
Farmhouse (5, 13.3 shows)
Ya Mar (5, 13.8 shows)
Drowned (4, 28.2 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (4, 6.6 shows)
Waste (4, 12.8 shows)
Sparkle (4, 14.1 shows)
Heavy Things (4, 11.5 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 10.9 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (4, 14.4 shows)
A Day in the Life (4, 22.5 shows)
Maze (4, 6.8 shows)
Poor Heart (4, 16.1 shows)
Split Open and Melt (4, 8.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 18% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.