Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-08-14, The Comcast Theatre were:
Down with Disease (9, 4.3 shows)
Divided Sky (8, 7.3 shows)
Stash (7, 5.9 shows)
Limb By Limb (7, 9.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (6, 4.5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (6, 5 shows)
Free (6, 4.8 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (6, 4.9 shows)
Mike's Song (6, 5 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (6, 8.2 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (6, 12.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 8.5 shows)
Tube (5, 5.4 shows)
Back on the Train (5, 5.6 shows)
Reba (5, 7.5 shows)
NICU (5, 10.1 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 7.3 shows)
AC/DC Bag (5, 7.6 shows)
Ghost (5, 4.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (4, 7.6 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 10.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (4, 8.8 shows)
Waste (4, 12.8 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (4, 14.4 shows)
Taste (4, 14.7 shows)
A Day in the Life (4, 22.5 shows)
Poor Heart (4, 16.1 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 10.9 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (4, 10.9 shows)
Maze (4, 6.8 shows)
Water in the Sky (4, 17.8 shows)
Bug (3, 10.4 shows)
Twist (3, 5.1 shows)
Foam (3, 20.5 shows)
Undermind (3, 11.1 shows)
Horn (3, 15.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 41% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.