Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-08-05, Shoreline Amphitheatre were:
Possum (8, 4.2 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 7.3 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (7, 4.5 shows)
Stash (6, 5.9 shows)
Ocelot (6, 6.6 shows)
Limb By Limb (6, 9.9 shows)
The Horse (5, 14.7 shows)
The Moma Dance (5, 4.5 shows)
Silent in the Morning (5, 11.5 shows)
The Squirming Coil (5, 11.1 shows)
David Bowie (5, 6.1 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 4.9 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 9.3 shows)
Mike's Song (5, 5 shows)
Ghost (5, 4.5 shows)
Farmhouse (4, 13.3 shows)
Poor Heart (4, 16.1 shows)
Train Song (4, 30.7 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (4, 14.4 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (4, 8.6 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 10.9 shows)
Bug (3, 10.4 shows)
Halley's Comet (3, 7.6 shows)
Twist (3, 5.1 shows)
Heavy Things (3, 11.5 shows)
The Wedge (3, 7 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (3, 6.6 shows)
Taste (3, 14.7 shows)
Foam (3, 20.5 shows)
Horn (3, 15.7 shows)
Maze (3, 6.8 shows)
Sparkle (3, 14.1 shows)
Ya Mar (3, 13.8 shows)
Frankenstein (3, 42.3 shows)
Birds of a Feather (2, 8.1 shows)
Rift (2, 7.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 43% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.