Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-08-02, Red Rocks Amphitheatre were:
Character Zero (7, 4.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (7, 6.4 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (6, 5.5 shows)
Sample in a Jar (5, 7 shows)
NICU (4, 10.1 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (4, 5.2 shows)
Train Song (4, 30.7 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (4, 8.6 shows)
Wilson (4, 7.1 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 7.5 shows)
Farmhouse (4, 13.3 shows)
Grind (4, 22.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 7.3 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 5.6 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 10.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (4, 5 shows)
Reba (4, 7.5 shows)
Frankenstein (3, 42.3 shows)
Heavy Things (3, 11.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (3, 7.6 shows)
Bug (3, 10.4 shows)
Waste (3, 12.8 shows)
Sparkle (3, 14.1 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (3, 6.6 shows)
Foam (3, 20.5 shows)
Ya Mar (3, 13.8 shows)
Twist (3, 5.1 shows)
Maze (3, 6.8 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (3, 10.9 shows)
Taste (3, 14.7 shows)
Brian and Robert (2, 29.4 shows)
Birds of a Feather (2, 8.1 shows)
I Didn't Know (2, 21.1 shows)
Undermind (2, 11.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (2, 9.1 shows)
Rift (2, 7.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 70% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.