Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2003-07-19, Alpine Valley Music Theatre were:
Piper (6, 5.2 shows)
Guyute (6, 17.6 shows)
Sample in a Jar (6, 6.6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 6 shows)
Carini (5, 5.7 shows)
Seven Below (5, 14.5 shows)
Taste (5, 12.7 shows)
Stash (5, 5.8 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (4, 20 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (4, 10.4 shows)
Possum (4, 4.2 shows)
All of These Dreams (4, 49.3 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 10.1 shows)
Free (4, 4.9 shows)
Runaway Jim (4, 8 shows)
Friday (4, 56.8 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 10.6 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 7.9 shows)
Round Room (4, 105.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (4, 5.2 shows)
Water in the Sky (4, 15.4 shows)
46 Days (4, 4.7 shows)
The Moma Dance (4, 4.6 shows)
Mexican Cousin (4, 49.3 shows)
Thunderhead (3, 105.6 shows)
Fast Enough for You (3, 35.2 shows)
Simple (3, 7.6 shows)
Heavy Things (3, 11.5 shows)
Loving Cup (3, 9 shows)
The Squirming Coil (3, 10.7 shows)
Frankie Says (3, 56.8 shows)
Llama (3, 17.6 shows)
Wilson (3, 6.7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (3, 7.3 shows)
NICU (3, 9.7 shows)
Rock and Roll (3, 9.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 53% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.