Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2003-02-21, U.S. Bank Arena were:
Llama (2, 18.2 shows)
Possum (2, 4.3 shows)
Harry Hood (2, 4.1 shows)
Sample in a Jar (2, 6.6 shows)
All of These Dreams (2, 48.4 shows)
Free (2, 4.9 shows)
Taste (2, 13.4 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (2, 4.5 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (2, 4.8 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (2, 4 shows)
Bathtub Gin (2, 4.9 shows)
It's Ice (2, 15.4 shows)
46 Days (2, 4.8 shows)
The Horse (1, 15.4 shows)
Silent in the Morning (1, 12.1 shows)
Back on the Train (1, 5.9 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (1, 10.1 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (1, 10.5 shows)
Cavern (1, 6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (1, 7 shows)
Foam (1, 21.4 shows)
Strange Design (1, 30.3 shows)
Axilla (1, 12.7 shows)
Time Loves a Hero (1, 181.5 shows)
Auld Lang Syne (1, 42.7 shows)
Mound (1, 25 shows)
Contact (1, 27.9 shows)
Wilson (1, 6.8 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (1, 10.7 shows)
Roggae (1, 11.2 shows)
Maze (1, 6.9 shows)
Ya Mar (1, 13.4 shows)
Saw It Again (1, 20.7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (1, 7.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (1, 9.4 shows)
Mike's Song (1, 5.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 63% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.