Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2003-02-20, Allstate Arena were:
Possum (2, 4.3 shows)
All of These Dreams (2, 48.4 shows)
Bathtub Gin (2, 4.9 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (2, 4 shows)
Taste (2, 13.4 shows)
Time Loves a Hero (1, 181.5 shows)
Strange Design (1, 30.3 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (1, 10.5 shows)
Auld Lang Syne (1, 42.7 shows)
Rift (1, 7.8 shows)
Back on the Train (1, 5.9 shows)
The Horse (1, 15.4 shows)
Silent in the Morning (1, 12.1 shows)
Simple (1, 7.7 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (1, 10.2 shows)
Cavern (1, 6 shows)
Tweezer (1, 4.8 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (1, 7 shows)
Foam (1, 21.4 shows)
Axilla (1, 12.7 shows)
Mound (1, 25 shows)
Wilson (1, 6.8 shows)
Contact (1, 27.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (1, 4.7 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (1, 10.7 shows)
Roggae (1, 11.2 shows)
Maze (1, 6.9 shows)
Ya Mar (1, 13.4 shows)
Saw It Again (1, 20.7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (1, 7.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (1, 9.4 shows)
Rock and Roll (1, 9.3 shows)
Mike's Song (1, 5.1 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (1, 20.7 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (1, 4.9 shows)
What's the Use? (1, 12.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 33% of the actual 15-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.