Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2000-09-24, Target Center were:
Back on the Train (24, 5.5 shows)
Twist (20, 5 shows)
Bug (19, 8.8 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (18, 4 shows)
Possum (16, 4.4 shows)
Harry Hood (16, 4.2 shows)
Farmhouse (16, 11.9 shows)
The Squirming Coil (13, 10.2 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (13, 8.3 shows)
The Inlaw Josie Wales (13, 53.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (12, 7.3 shows)
Funky Bitch (12, 8 shows)
David Bowie (12, 5.8 shows)
Loving Cup (12, 8.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (11, 9.1 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (11, 12 shows)
Roggae (11, 10.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (11, 8 shows)
My Soul (11, 16.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (11, 5.4 shows)
Ya Mar (10, 12.4 shows)
Taste (10, 12.4 shows)
Maze (10, 7 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (10, 27.8 shows)
Sample in a Jar (10, 6.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (10, 7.7 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (9, 10.2 shows)
Free (9, 5.1 shows)
Horn (9, 13 shows)
AC/DC Bag (9, 7.6 shows)
Jam (8, 67.3 shows)
Sparkle (8, 13.9 shows)
Rock and Roll (8, 9.3 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (7, 47.5 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 19.7 shows)
Driver (7, 28.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 45% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.