Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2000-09-23, Allstate Arena were:
Back on the Train (24, 5.5 shows)
Piper (22, 5 shows)
Bug (19, 8.8 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (18, 4 shows)
Farmhouse (16, 11.9 shows)
Harry Hood (16, 4.2 shows)
Possum (16, 4.4 shows)
Character Zero (16, 4.5 shows)
The Squirming Coil (14, 10.1 shows)
The Inlaw Josie Wales (13, 53.9 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (13, 8.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (13, 4.8 shows)
David Bowie (13, 5.8 shows)
Runaway Jim (12, 7.9 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (12, 7.3 shows)
Funky Bitch (12, 8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (12, 5.4 shows)
The Moma Dance (12, 4.7 shows)
Loving Cup (12, 8.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (11, 9.1 shows)
Roggae (11, 10.4 shows)
Tweezer (11, 4.9 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (11, 12.1 shows)
Ya Mar (11, 12.2 shows)
My Soul (11, 16.8 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (10, 27.9 shows)
NICU (10, 9.3 shows)
Horn (10, 12.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (9, 7.6 shows)
Birds of a Feather (9, 8.2 shows)
Rock and Roll (9, 9.2 shows)
Free (9, 5.1 shows)
Jam (8, 67.3 shows)
Julius (7, 7.7 shows)
Silent in the Morning (7, 12.1 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (7, 19.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 15-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.