Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2000-09-17, Merriweather Post Pavilion were:
Back on the Train (25, 5.4 shows)
Twist (20, 5 shows)
Sand (20, 5.4 shows)
Limb By Limb (20, 7.7 shows)
Bug (20, 8.7 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (19, 4 shows)
Farmhouse (18, 11.6 shows)
Harry Hood (16, 4.2 shows)
Guyute (16, 13.5 shows)
Dirt (15, 16.2 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (15, 6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (14, 4.9 shows)
Funky Bitch (13, 8 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (13, 4.8 shows)
David Bowie (13, 5.8 shows)
Roggae (12, 10.3 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (12, 9.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (12, 7.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (12, 8 shows)
The Moma Dance (12, 4.7 shows)
Tweezer (11, 4.9 shows)
Ya Mar (11, 12.3 shows)
NICU (11, 9.2 shows)
Horn (10, 12.9 shows)
Ghost (10, 4.8 shows)
Taste (10, 12.3 shows)
Simple (10, 7.7 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (9, 10.2 shows)
AC/DC Bag (9, 7.7 shows)
Maze (9, 7 shows)
Cavern (9, 6.1 shows)
Meat (8, 22.6 shows)
Poor Heart (8, 14.5 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (8, 45.1 shows)
Stash (8, 6.1 shows)
Rock and Roll (8, 9.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 44% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.