Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2000-09-15, Hersheypark Stadium were:
Gotta Jibboo (28, 8.1 shows)
Back on the Train (26, 5.4 shows)
Sand (21, 5.4 shows)
Bug (20, 8.8 shows)
Limb By Limb (20, 7.7 shows)
Farmhouse (18, 11.6 shows)
Guyute (17, 13.3 shows)
Harry Hood (17, 4.2 shows)
Character Zero (16, 4.5 shows)
Possum (16, 4.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (15, 4.8 shows)
Dirt (15, 16.3 shows)
David Bowie (14, 5.8 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (14, 4.8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (14, 4.9 shows)
Roggae (13, 10.2 shows)
Runaway Jim (13, 7.9 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (13, 7.3 shows)
Funky Bitch (13, 8 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (13, 8.3 shows)
Tweezer (12, 4.9 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (12, 9.8 shows)
Tube (11, 5.8 shows)
When the Circus Comes (11, 17.3 shows)
NICU (11, 9.3 shows)
Ghost (11, 4.8 shows)
Taste (10, 12.3 shows)
Maze (10, 7 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (10, 10 shows)
Cavern (10, 6 shows)
Simple (10, 7.7 shows)
Birds of a Feather (9, 8.1 shows)
Meatstick (9, 12.7 shows)
Free (9, 5.2 shows)
AC/DC Bag (9, 7.7 shows)
Rock and Roll (8, 9.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 53% of the actual 15-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.