Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2000-07-15, Polaris Amphitheater were:
Limb By Limb (22, 7.5 shows)
Twist (20, 5.1 shows)
Bug (20, 8.9 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (20, 5.8 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (18, 4.8 shows)
Possum (17, 4.4 shows)
Tweezer (17, 4.9 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (17, 4.5 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (17, 4.8 shows)
Funky Bitch (16, 7.8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (16, 5 shows)
Dirt (15, 16.3 shows)
Roggae (15, 10 shows)
Ghost (15, 4.8 shows)
Loving Cup (14, 8.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (14, 8.9 shows)
Wilson (13, 6.9 shows)
Simple (13, 7.6 shows)
When the Circus Comes (12, 17 shows)
NICU (12, 9.1 shows)
Maze (10, 7.1 shows)
Jam (10, 48.9 shows)
Poor Heart (10, 14.3 shows)
Horn (10, 12.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (10, 7.7 shows)
My Soul (10, 16.6 shows)
Meat (9, 22.5 shows)
Sparkle (9, 13.9 shows)
Julius (9, 7.7 shows)
Brian and Robert (8, 23.1 shows)
Rock and Roll (8, 9.5 shows)
Frankenstein (8, 23.1 shows)
Rocky Top (8, 26 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 5.7 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 8.9 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 7.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 59% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.