Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2000-07-08, Alpine Valley Music Theatre were:
Down with Disease (23, 4.2 shows)
Guyute (22, 12.1 shows)
Sand (19, 5.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (18, 4.8 shows)
Tweezer (17, 4.9 shows)
Possum (17, 4.4 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (17, 4.5 shows)
Bathtub Gin (16, 5 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (16, 4.8 shows)
Runaway Jim (15, 7.9 shows)
David Bowie (15, 5.8 shows)
Dirt (15, 16.4 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (14, 11.5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (14, 7.8 shows)
Wilson (13, 6.9 shows)
When the Circus Comes (13, 16.7 shows)
Meatstick (12, 12.3 shows)
Tube (12, 5.9 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (12, 9.8 shows)
Cavern (12, 6 shows)
Sample in a Jar (12, 6.6 shows)
NICU (12, 9.1 shows)
Free (12, 5.2 shows)
Jam (11, 46.5 shows)
Horn (11, 12.7 shows)
Ya Mar (11, 12.3 shows)
AC/DC Bag (10, 7.8 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (10, 36.4 shows)
Poor Heart (10, 14.2 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (9, 27 shows)
Brian and Robert (9, 22.6 shows)
Waste (9, 12.5 shows)
Axilla (9, 11.8 shows)
Sparkle (9, 13.7 shows)
My Soul (9, 16.7 shows)
Meat (9, 22.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.