Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2000-06-24, Lakewood Amphitheatre were:
Guyute (22, 11.7 shows)
Piper (21, 4.9 shows)
Mike's Song (17, 4.9 shows)
The Squirming Coil (16, 9.6 shows)
The Moma Dance (16, 4.6 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (16, 4.7 shows)
Ghost (15, 4.7 shows)
Simple (15, 7.4 shows)
Tweezer (15, 4.8 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (15, 10.8 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (15, 4.9 shows)
Meatstick (15, 11.4 shows)
Funky Bitch (15, 7.6 shows)
Tube (14, 5.7 shows)
Free (14, 5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (14, 7.5 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (14, 4.7 shows)
Loving Cup (13, 8.3 shows)
Wilson (13, 6.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (13, 7.3 shows)
Cavern (12, 5.9 shows)
When the Circus Comes (12, 16.2 shows)
NICU (12, 9 shows)
Jam (12, 44.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (12, 8.6 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (12, 9.7 shows)
Taste (11, 11.4 shows)
Stash (11, 5.9 shows)
Horn (11, 12.4 shows)
Sparkle (10, 13.4 shows)
Maze (10, 6.9 shows)
AC/DC Bag (10, 7.5 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (10, 26.4 shows)
Waste (9, 12.1 shows)
Billy Breathes (9, 32.5 shows)
Axilla (9, 11.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.