Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2000-05-23, Roseland Ballroom were:
Farmhouse (21, 10.6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (18, 5.6 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (15, 4.7 shows)
Mike's Song (15, 4.9 shows)
Tweezer (14, 4.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (14, 5.2 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (14, 4.9 shows)
Tube (14, 5.7 shows)
Meatstick (14, 11.4 shows)
Funky Bitch (14, 7.6 shows)
Free (13, 5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (13, 7.5 shows)
Simple (13, 7.4 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (13, 10.8 shows)
Roggae (13, 9.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (12, 7.7 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (12, 4.7 shows)
Prince Caspian (12, 7.3 shows)
Wilson (11, 6.6 shows)
NICU (11, 9 shows)
Stash (10, 5.9 shows)
Jam (10, 44.4 shows)
Cavern (10, 5.9 shows)
When the Circus Comes (10, 16.2 shows)
Taste (9, 11.4 shows)
Maze (9, 6.9 shows)
Ya Mar (9, 11.9 shows)
Sample in a Jar (9, 6.5 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (9, 26.4 shows)
Waste (8, 12.1 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (8, 19.2 shows)
Poor Heart (8, 14.1 shows)
Water in the Sky (8, 14.6 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (8, 33.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (8, 7.5 shows)
Axilla (8, 11.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 55% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.