Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1999-12-03, Firstar Center were:
Back on the Train (17, 5.2 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (16, 3.9 shows)
Mike's Song (12, 4.9 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (12, 4.4 shows)
Birds of a Feather (12, 7.5 shows)
Funky Bitch (12, 7.6 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (11, 4.7 shows)
Piper (11, 4.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (11, 4.6 shows)
Tweezer (11, 4.8 shows)
Meatstick (11, 11.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (10, 4.8 shows)
Cavern (10, 5.9 shows)
Tube (10, 5.7 shows)
NICU (10, 8.9 shows)
David Bowie (10, 5.7 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (9, 7.9 shows)
Harry Hood (9, 4.1 shows)
Axilla (8, 11.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (8, 8.6 shows)
Twist (8, 4.9 shows)
Maze (8, 6.8 shows)
Taste (8, 11.3 shows)
Julius (7, 7.6 shows)
Horn (7, 12.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.2 shows)
When the Circus Comes (7, 16 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (7, 19.3 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 11.9 shows)
Carini (7, 6 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (7, 33.9 shows)
Waste (7, 12.1 shows)
Frankenstein (6, 22.3 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 7.4 shows)
Billy Breathes (6, 32.6 shows)
Bug (6, 8.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 14-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.