Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1999-12-02, The Palace of Auburn Hills were:
Back on the Train (17, 5.2 shows)
Mike's Song (12, 4.9 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (12, 4.4 shows)
Birds of a Feather (12, 7.5 shows)
Funky Bitch (12, 7.6 shows)
The Moma Dance (11, 4.6 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (10, 4.8 shows)
Tube (10, 5.7 shows)
Cavern (10, 5.9 shows)
David Bowie (10, 5.7 shows)
NICU (10, 8.9 shows)
Roggae (10, 9.6 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (9, 7.9 shows)
Runaway Jim (9, 7.7 shows)
Axilla (8, 11.6 shows)
Taste (8, 11.3 shows)
Twist (8, 4.9 shows)
Maze (8, 6.8 shows)
Sample in a Jar (8, 6.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (8, 8.6 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 11.9 shows)
Julius (7, 7.6 shows)
Horn (7, 12.3 shows)
When the Circus Comes (7, 16 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (7, 33.9 shows)
Carini (7, 6 shows)
Waste (7, 12.1 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 7.2 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (7, 19.3 shows)
Frankenstein (6, 22.3 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (6, 9.9 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 7.4 shows)
Brian and Robert (6, 22.3 shows)
Water in the Sky (6, 14.6 shows)
Billy Breathes (6, 32.6 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 14.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 29% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.