Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1999-10-03, Allstate Arena were:
Guyute (24, 10.7 shows)
Birds of a Feather (22, 7.1 shows)
Ghost (18, 4.6 shows)
Farmhouse (17, 10.3 shows)
Character Zero (17, 4.4 shows)
Funky Bitch (15, 7.5 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (15, 9 shows)
David Bowie (14, 5.6 shows)
Simple (14, 7.2 shows)
Prince Caspian (14, 7.2 shows)
Possum (14, 4.3 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (13, 7.7 shows)
Brian and Robert (12, 19.9 shows)
Sample in a Jar (12, 6.4 shows)
Harry Hood (12, 4.1 shows)
Tube (12, 5.8 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (11, 25 shows)
Axilla (11, 11.5 shows)
Wilson (11, 6.7 shows)
Meatstick (10, 11.8 shows)
Maze (10, 6.9 shows)
Reba (10, 7.7 shows)
Sleep (9, 48.6 shows)
Hello My Baby (9, 67.2 shows)
Frankie Says (9, 33.6 shows)
Jam (9, 43.7 shows)
My Soul (9, 15.1 shows)
Water in the Sky (9, 14.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (8, 7.3 shows)
Horn (8, 12.3 shows)
When the Circus Comes (8, 15.9 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (8, 33.6 shows)
Meat (8, 19.9 shows)
Carini (8, 6.1 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 9.9 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 7.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 55% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.