Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1999-10-02, Target Center were:
Guyute (24, 10.7 shows)
Birds of a Feather (23, 7.1 shows)
Ghost (18, 4.6 shows)
Piper (17, 4.8 shows)
Character Zero (17, 4.4 shows)
Funky Bitch (15, 7.5 shows)
Simple (14, 7.2 shows)
David Bowie (14, 5.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (14, 7.2 shows)
Possum (14, 4.3 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (13, 7.7 shows)
Brian and Robert (12, 19.9 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (12, 10.7 shows)
Sample in a Jar (12, 6.4 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (11, 25 shows)
Loving Cup (11, 8.2 shows)
Wilson (11, 6.7 shows)
Axilla (11, 11.5 shows)
Reba (10, 7.7 shows)
Meatstick (10, 11.8 shows)
Split Open and Melt (10, 8.6 shows)
The Squirming Coil (10, 9.6 shows)
Water in the Sky (9, 14.3 shows)
My Soul (9, 15.1 shows)
Frankie Says (9, 33.7 shows)
Jam (9, 43.8 shows)
Hello My Baby (9, 67.3 shows)
Sleep (9, 48.6 shows)
When the Circus Comes (8, 15.9 shows)
Carini (8, 6.1 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (8, 7.3 shows)
Horn (8, 12.3 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (8, 33.7 shows)
Meat (8, 19.9 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 9.9 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 7.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 29% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.