Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1999-09-19, Irvine Meadows were:
Birds of a Feather (21, 7.1 shows)
Character Zero (15, 4.4 shows)
Down with Disease (14, 4.1 shows)
Possum (13, 4.3 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (13, 9 shows)
Simple (13, 7.2 shows)
Funky Bitch (13, 7.5 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (12, 7.7 shows)
Driver (11, 22.4 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (11, 25 shows)
Sample in a Jar (11, 6.4 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (11, 10.7 shows)
Axilla (10, 11.5 shows)
Reba (9, 7.7 shows)
My Soul (9, 15.1 shows)
Frankie Says (9, 33.7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.6 shows)
Sleep (9, 48.6 shows)
NICU (9, 8.9 shows)
Loving Cup (9, 8.2 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 4.9 shows)
Taste (9, 11.2 shows)
Hello My Baby (8, 67.3 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 12.3 shows)
Meat (7, 19.9 shows)
Gumbo (7, 12.2 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 7.5 shows)
Horn (7, 12.3 shows)
Llama (7, 16.2 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (6, 33.7 shows)
Albuquerque (6, 62.5 shows)
Fluffhead (6, 8.8 shows)
The Wedge (5, 8 shows)
Free Bird (5, 125 shows)
Rock and Roll (5, 9.2 shows)
Back at the Chicken Shack (5, 109.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 44% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.