Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-11-21, Hampton Coliseum were:
Limb By Limb (21, 6.6 shows)
Down with Disease (19, 4.1 shows)
Mike's Song (18, 4.9 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (18, 4.8 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (18, 4.7 shows)
Simple (17, 6.9 shows)
Loving Cup (16, 7.8 shows)
Tweezer (16, 4.8 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (15, 9.8 shows)
Water in the Sky (13, 13.1 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (13, 4.8 shows)
NICU (13, 8.5 shows)
Julius (13, 7.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (13, 7.1 shows)
Reba (12, 7.7 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (12, 25.1 shows)
Ya Mar (11, 11.2 shows)
Jam (10, 32.1 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (10, 7.3 shows)
Sparkle (10, 12.4 shows)
Rocky Top (10, 21.1 shows)
When the Circus Comes (10, 14.5 shows)
Wilson (9, 6.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (9, 7.8 shows)
Scent of a Mule (8, 19.4 shows)
Dirt (8, 15.2 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (8, 9.4 shows)
Halley's Comet (8, 8.3 shows)
Bittersweet Motel (8, 48.9 shows)
AC/DC Bag (8, 7.7 shows)
Drowned (7, 21.1 shows)
Sleeping Monkey (7, 20.2 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 14.1 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (6, 18.6 shows)
Izabella (6, 58.1 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 7.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 32% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.