Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-11-20, Hampton Coliseum were:
Piper (21, 4.7 shows)
Harry Hood (20, 4.1 shows)
Down with Disease (19, 4.1 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (18, 4.7 shows)
Funky Bitch (17, 7.1 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (16, 9.7 shows)
Tweezer (16, 4.8 shows)
Possum (14, 4.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (14, 7.1 shows)
Water in the Sky (13, 13.1 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (13, 24.5 shows)
Julius (13, 7.4 shows)
NICU (13, 8.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (13, 4.8 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (12, 23.3 shows)
Reba (12, 7.7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (11, 5 shows)
Ya Mar (11, 11.2 shows)
Tube (10, 5.8 shows)
Sparkle (10, 12.4 shows)
When the Circus Comes (10, 14.5 shows)
Jam (10, 32.1 shows)
Meat (10, 18.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (10, 7.3 shows)
AC/DC Bag (9, 7.6 shows)
Wilson (9, 6.7 shows)
Halley's Comet (8, 8.3 shows)
Train Song (8, 24.5 shows)
Dirt (8, 15.3 shows)
Bittersweet Motel (8, 49 shows)
Split Open and Melt (8, 8.5 shows)
Sleeping Monkey (7, 20.2 shows)
Drowned (7, 21.2 shows)
Axilla (7, 11.4 shows)
Izabella (6, 58.2 shows)
McGrupp and the Watchful Hosemasters (6, 33.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 48% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.