Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-11-13, CSU Convocation Center were:
Guyute (20, 9.5 shows)
Harry Hood (20, 4.1 shows)
Mike's Song (17, 4.9 shows)
Character Zero (17, 4.4 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (17, 4.8 shows)
Loving Cup (16, 7.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (16, 5.2 shows)
My Soul (16, 13 shows)
Tweezer (16, 4.8 shows)
Possum (15, 4.4 shows)
David Bowie (15, 5.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (14, 7.1 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (14, 4.5 shows)
Brian and Robert (13, 17.6 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (13, 24.6 shows)
Sample in a Jar (12, 6.4 shows)
Reba (12, 7.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (12, 4.8 shows)
Ya Mar (11, 11.3 shows)
Maze (11, 6.8 shows)
Tube (10, 5.8 shows)
Wilson (10, 6.7 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (10, 23.4 shows)
Jam (10, 32.2 shows)
Sparkle (9, 12.5 shows)
Train Song (9, 24 shows)
AC/DC Bag (9, 7.7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (9, 7.2 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (9, 26.7 shows)
Lawn Boy (9, 9.8 shows)
Runaway Jim (9, 7.7 shows)
Scent of a Mule (8, 19.1 shows)
Fluffhead (8, 8.7 shows)
Dirt (8, 15.1 shows)
Bittersweet Motel (8, 49.2 shows)
Split Open and Melt (8, 8.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 28% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.