Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-11-11, Van Andel Arena were:
Birds of a Feather (22, 6.7 shows)
Harry Hood (20, 4.1 shows)
Character Zero (18, 4.4 shows)
Loving Cup (17, 7.7 shows)
Funky Bitch (17, 7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (16, 9.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (16, 5.2 shows)
Tweezer (16, 4.8 shows)
Simple (16, 6.9 shows)
Prince Caspian (15, 7 shows)
Possum (15, 4.4 shows)
David Bowie (15, 5.6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (14, 4.5 shows)
Julius (12, 7.4 shows)
Sample in a Jar (12, 6.4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (12, 4.8 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (11, 7.2 shows)
Maze (11, 6.8 shows)
Ya Mar (11, 11.3 shows)
Tube (10, 5.9 shows)
Train Song (10, 23.4 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (10, 7.2 shows)
When the Circus Comes (10, 14.4 shows)
Jam (10, 32.3 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (10, 23.4 shows)
Wilson (10, 6.7 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (9, 26.7 shows)
Sparkle (9, 12.5 shows)
Runaway Jim (9, 7.7 shows)
Lawn Boy (9, 9.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.5 shows)
Scent of a Mule (8, 19.1 shows)
Fluffhead (8, 8.7 shows)
Bittersweet Motel (8, 49.3 shows)
Dirt (8, 15.1 shows)
Rocky Top (8, 21.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.