Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-07-21, Desert Sky Pavilion were:
Chalk Dust Torture (17, 3.8 shows)
Taste (16, 10 shows)
Stash (15, 5.7 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (15, 4.7 shows)
Loving Cup (15, 7.7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (14, 7 shows)
Simple (13, 6.9 shows)
NICU (13, 8.4 shows)
Julius (12, 7.4 shows)
David Bowie (12, 5.6 shows)
Train Song (11, 23 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (11, 24.2 shows)
Funky Bitch (11, 7.1 shows)
When the Circus Comes (10, 14 shows)
Dogs Stole Things (10, 32.2 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (10, 23.6 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 5.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (9, 7.7 shows)
Sparkle (9, 12.2 shows)
Cities (8, 11 shows)
Frankenstein (8, 19 shows)
Izabella (8, 48.4 shows)
Twist (7, 5.3 shows)
Black-Eyed Katy (7, 138.1 shows)
Billy Breathes (7, 26.9 shows)
Scent of a Mule (7, 19 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (7, 15.1 shows)
Cavern (7, 6 shows)
Johnny B. Goode (6, 161.2 shows)
Tube (6, 6 shows)
Free (6, 5.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (6, 7.6 shows)
Wilson (6, 6.8 shows)
Reba (6, 7.7 shows)
Vultures (6, 21.5 shows)
The Squirming Coil (6, 9.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 39% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.