Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1998-04-02, Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum were:
Ghost (28, 4.3 shows)
Character Zero (23, 4.3 shows)
Dogs Stole Things (20, 23.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (17, 6.9 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (14, 21.9 shows)
Rocky Top (13, 18.6 shows)
Julius (12, 7.4 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (12, 5.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (12, 7.7 shows)
Funky Bitch (11, 7.1 shows)
Twist (11, 5.3 shows)
Sample in a Jar (11, 6.4 shows)
Jam (11, 28.2 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5 shows)
Simple (10, 7 shows)
Vultures (10, 20.1 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (10, 9.1 shows)
Free (9, 5.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.4 shows)
Cavern (9, 6 shows)
Poor Heart (9, 13.3 shows)
Billy Breathes (9, 25.3 shows)
Sparkle (8, 12.3 shows)
Cities (8, 10.8 shows)
Saw It Again (7, 20.6 shows)
The Squirming Coil (7, 9.7 shows)
Johnny B. Goode (6, 141 shows)
Reba (6, 7.7 shows)
Olivia's Pool (6, 98.7 shows)
Scent of a Mule (6, 19 shows)
Hello My Baby (6, 47 shows)
Gumbo (6, 12 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (6, 17.9 shows)
The Old Home Place (5, 35.3 shows)
Horn (5, 12.5 shows)
Steep (5, 61.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 22% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!

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