Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1997-11-19, Assembly Hall, University of Illinois were:
Chalk Dust Torture (26, 3.7 shows)
Theme from the Bottom (25, 6.5 shows)
Stash (21, 5.5 shows)
Prince Caspian (20, 6.6 shows)
Sample in a Jar (18, 6.1 shows)
Limb By Limb (18, 6.4 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (18, 18.1 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (18, 6.8 shows)
Dogs Stole Things (18, 24.2 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (16, 8.9 shows)
Julius (15, 7.2 shows)
Free (15, 5.3 shows)
Waste (15, 10.9 shows)
Dirt (15, 13.2 shows)
Water in the Sky (14, 12 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (13, 20.7 shows)
Sparkle (13, 11.5 shows)
Rocky Top (13, 17.8 shows)
Ya Mar (12, 10.5 shows)
Cavern (12, 5.9 shows)
Mike's Song (11, 5 shows)
Uncle Pen (11, 40.6 shows)
Frankenstein (11, 17.5 shows)
Bathtub Gin (11, 5.1 shows)
Steep (11, 42.3 shows)
Loving Cup (11, 7.7 shows)
Swept Away (11, 42.3 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (10, 4.9 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (10, 9.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (10, 8.4 shows)
Vultures (9, 20.7 shows)
Jam (9, 27.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 5 shows)
AC/DC Bag (8, 7.6 shows)
Sweet Adeline (8, 84.7 shows)
Peaches en Regalia (7, 40.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 40% of the actual 15-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!

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