Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1997-11-17, McNichols Arena were:
Ghost (20, 4.4 shows)
Down with Disease (20, 4.1 shows)
Limb By Limb (18, 6.4 shows)
Sample in a Jar (18, 6.1 shows)
Dogs Stole Things (18, 24.2 shows)
Waste (16, 10.8 shows)
Dirt (15, 13.2 shows)
Free (15, 5.3 shows)
Julius (15, 7.2 shows)
Ginseng Sullivan (14, 20.4 shows)
Water in the Sky (14, 12 shows)
Reba (13, 7.4 shows)
Rocky Top (13, 17.9 shows)
Ya Mar (13, 10.4 shows)
Sparkle (13, 11.6 shows)
Swept Away (12, 40.7 shows)
Steep (12, 40.7 shows)
Cavern (12, 6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (12, 5 shows)
Frankenstein (11, 17.6 shows)
When the Circus Comes (11, 13.4 shows)
Uncle Pen (11, 40.7 shows)
Johnny B. Goode (10, 72.7 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (10, 9.3 shows)
AC/DC Bag (9, 7.6 shows)
Jam (9, 27.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (9, 4.9 shows)
Vultures (9, 20.8 shows)
The Squirming Coil (8, 9.7 shows)
Sweet Adeline (8, 84.8 shows)
Llama (8, 15.4 shows)
Tweezer (8, 5 shows)
A Day in the Life (7, 24.8 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 7.8 shows)
Cities (7, 11.1 shows)
Peaches en Regalia (7, 40.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 12-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.