Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1997-07-23, Lakewood Amphitheatre were:
Sample in a Jar (27, 5.9 shows)
Prince Caspian (26, 6.4 shows)
Waste (25, 10.1 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (25, 16 shows)
Poor Heart (23, 11.5 shows)
Free (23, 5.2 shows)
Reba (22, 7.2 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (21, 8.5 shows)
Julius (20, 7 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (20, 4.6 shows)
Maze (20, 6.5 shows)
Ya Mar (19, 9.8 shows)
Sparkle (19, 10.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (18, 5.2 shows)
Swept Away (18, 31.9 shows)
Steep (18, 31.9 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (17, 7.5 shows)
Cavern (17, 5.9 shows)
Billy Breathes (17, 19.9 shows)
Scent of a Mule (17, 16 shows)
Train Song (16, 18.2 shows)
AC/DC Bag (16, 7.4 shows)
Tweezer (15, 4.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (15, 8.1 shows)
Divided Sky (15, 7.5 shows)
A Day in the Life (14, 22 shows)
Wilson (14, 6.8 shows)
Rocky Top (13, 17.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (13, 5 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (12, 22 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (12, 24.5 shows)
Frankenstein (12, 16.7 shows)
It's Ice (12, 14.6 shows)
Rift (11, 8.8 shows)
Sweet Adeline (11, 65.9 shows)
Talk (11, 70.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.