Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1997-07-22, Walnut Creek Amphitheater were:
Taste (41, 7.6 shows)
Down with Disease (30, 4.1 shows)
Sample in a Jar (27, 5.9 shows)
Runaway Jim (26, 7.1 shows)
Prince Caspian (26, 6.4 shows)
Waste (25, 10.1 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (25, 16 shows)
Harry Hood (24, 4 shows)
Free (23, 5.2 shows)
Poor Heart (23, 11.5 shows)
Reba (22, 7.2 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (21, 8.5 shows)
Maze (20, 6.5 shows)
Sparkle (20, 10.7 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (20, 4.6 shows)
Hello My Baby (19, 28.5 shows)
Swept Away (18, 32 shows)
Steep (18, 32 shows)
Scent of a Mule (18, 15.7 shows)
Simple (18, 6.6 shows)
AC/DC Bag (17, 7.3 shows)
Cavern (17, 5.9 shows)
Billy Breathes (17, 19.9 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (17, 7.5 shows)
My Soul (16, 11.1 shows)
Mike's Song (16, 4.9 shows)
Train Song (16, 18.2 shows)
Tweezer (15, 4.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (15, 8.1 shows)
Divided Sky (15, 7.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (15, 4.9 shows)
Wilson (14, 6.8 shows)
Rocky Top (14, 17 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (14, 21.5 shows)
A Day in the Life (14, 22 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (13, 5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 56% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.