Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1997-07-03, Serenadenhof were:
Sample in a Jar (31, 5.8 shows)
Down with Disease (30, 4.1 shows)
Runaway Jim (28, 7 shows)
Waste (26, 10.1 shows)
Prince Caspian (26, 6.4 shows)
Poor Heart (25, 11.1 shows)
Harry Hood (25, 4 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (24, 15.7 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (24, 4.6 shows)
Hello My Baby (22, 26.1 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (21, 8.6 shows)
Cavern (21, 5.8 shows)
Julius (20, 7 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (20, 7.5 shows)
Sparkle (20, 10.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (20, 5.2 shows)
Scent of a Mule (19, 15.5 shows)
Tweezer (18, 4.9 shows)
Swept Away (18, 32.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (18, 8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (18, 7.4 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (18, 20.6 shows)
Steep (18, 32.4 shows)
Divided Sky (17, 7.5 shows)
A Day in the Life (17, 21 shows)
Billy Breathes (16, 20.2 shows)
Train Song (16, 18.1 shows)
Funky Bitch (16, 6.9 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (15, 4.6 shows)
Wilson (15, 6.8 shows)
It's Ice (15, 14.3 shows)
Sweet Adeline (13, 56.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (13, 5 shows)
Johnny B. Goode (13, 53.5 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (13, 24.3 shows)
Frankenstein (12, 17 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 15-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.