Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1997-07-02, Paradiso were:
Sample in a Jar (31, 5.8 shows)
Down with Disease (30, 4.1 shows)
Runaway Jim (29, 7 shows)
Prince Caspian (26, 6.4 shows)
Waste (26, 10.1 shows)
Harry Hood (25, 4 shows)
David Bowie (25, 5.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (24, 4.6 shows)
Cars Trucks Buses (24, 15.7 shows)
Maze (23, 6.4 shows)
Free (23, 5.2 shows)
Hello My Baby (22, 26.1 shows)
Cavern (21, 5.8 shows)
Sparkle (21, 10.6 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (21, 8.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (20, 5.2 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (20, 7.5 shows)
Julius (20, 7 shows)
Scent of a Mule (19, 15.5 shows)
AC/DC Bag (18, 7.4 shows)
Tweezer (18, 4.9 shows)
Steep (18, 32.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (18, 8 shows)
Simple (18, 6.7 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (18, 20.6 shows)
Swept Away (18, 32.4 shows)
A Day in the Life (17, 21 shows)
Divided Sky (17, 7.5 shows)
Mike's Song (17, 5 shows)
Train Song (16, 18.1 shows)
Funky Bitch (16, 6.9 shows)
Billy Breathes (16, 20.2 shows)
It's Ice (15, 14.3 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (15, 4.6 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (14, 5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (13, 5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 43% of the actual 14-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.