Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1996-11-30, ARCO Arena were:
Runaway Jim (25, 6.8 shows)
Hello My Baby (21, 23.7 shows)
Stash (21, 5.3 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (19, 19.8 shows)
Split Open and Melt (18, 7.9 shows)
Prince Caspian (18, 6.4 shows)
It's Ice (16, 13.9 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (15, 8.5 shows)
Mike's Song (15, 5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (14, 5.6 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (13, 5 shows)
Funky Bitch (13, 6.9 shows)
Rift (13, 8.8 shows)
Possum (12, 4.7 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (12, 8.1 shows)
Train Song (12, 18.4 shows)
The Lizards (12, 14.9 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (11, 24.2 shows)
The Squirming Coil (11, 9.5 shows)
Llama (11, 14.3 shows)
The Curtain (11, 38.9 shows)
Sweet Adeline (11, 47.3 shows)
Fee (11, 21.8 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (10, 13.8 shows)
Billy Breathes (10, 19.8 shows)
Gumbo (9, 11.6 shows)
The Horse (9, 14.9 shows)
Silent in the Morning (9, 12.5 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 4.6 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (8, 17 shows)
Johnny B. Goode (8, 51.8 shows)
Taste That Surrounds (7, 155.4 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 9.1 shows)
Foam (7, 20.1 shows)
Talk (7, 72.5 shows)
Jam (6, 25.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 43% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.