Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1996-11-29, The Cow Palace were:
Runaway Jim (25, 6.8 shows)
Stash (22, 5.3 shows)
Hello My Baby (21, 23.7 shows)
Maze (20, 6.4 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (20, 19.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (18, 6.4 shows)
It's Ice (16, 14 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (14, 5.6 shows)
Wilson (13, 6.8 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (12, 8.1 shows)
Train Song (12, 18.5 shows)
Possum (12, 4.7 shows)
The Lizards (12, 14.9 shows)
Bathtub Gin (12, 5.1 shows)
Llama (11, 14.3 shows)
The Squirming Coil (11, 9.5 shows)
Fee (11, 21.8 shows)
Sweet Adeline (11, 47.3 shows)
Steep (10, 33 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (10, 13.8 shows)
Billy Breathes (10, 19.8 shows)
Swept Away (10, 33 shows)
Gumbo (9, 11.6 shows)
The Horse (9, 14.9 shows)
Silent in the Morning (9, 12.5 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 4.6 shows)
Johnny B. Goode (8, 51.9 shows)
Frankenstein (8, 16.5 shows)
Life on Mars? (8, 72.6 shows)
Foam (7, 20.2 shows)
Taste That Surrounds (7, 155.6 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 9.1 shows)
Talk (7, 72.6 shows)
NICU (7, 8.4 shows)
The Mango Song (6, 22.2 shows)
Rocky Top (6, 17.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 40% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.