Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1996-10-23, Hartford Civic Center were:
Hold Your Head Up (29, 17.6 shows)
Poor Heart (26, 10.1 shows)
Ya Mar (21, 9 shows)
Harry Hood (20, 4 shows)
Theme from the Bottom (19, 6.1 shows)
Cavern (18, 5.8 shows)
A Day in the Life (18, 17.9 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (18, 7.2 shows)
Tweezer (18, 4.9 shows)
Julius (17, 6.8 shows)
Strange Design (14, 22.2 shows)
The Squirming Coil (13, 9.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (13, 5 shows)
Taste That Surrounds (13, 85.4 shows)
Sweet Adeline (13, 41.1 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (13, 8.5 shows)
The Lizards (13, 14.4 shows)
Bathtub Gin (11, 5.2 shows)
Fire (10, 27.8 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (10, 8.3 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (10, 13.4 shows)
Uncle Pen (9, 31.7 shows)
Guyute (9, 9.6 shows)
I'm Blue, I'm Lonesome (9, 92.5 shows)
Billy Breathes (8, 18.8 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (8, 16.6 shows)
Foam (7, 19.8 shows)
Dog Faced Boy (7, 39.6 shows)
NICU (7, 8.4 shows)
I Didn't Know (7, 19.8 shows)
Horn (7, 12.6 shows)
Amazing Grace (7, 92.5 shows)
Acoustic Army (6, 185 shows)
Jam (6, 25.2 shows)
Suspicious Minds (6, 138.8 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (6, 24.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.