Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1996-10-22, Madison Square Garden were:
Hold Your Head Up (29, 17.6 shows)
Poor Heart (26, 10.1 shows)
Ya Mar (21, 9 shows)
Theme from the Bottom (20, 6.1 shows)
Scent of a Mule (20, 13.5 shows)
Cavern (19, 5.7 shows)
A Day in the Life (19, 17.6 shows)
Tweezer (18, 4.9 shows)
It's Ice (17, 13.5 shows)
Mike's Song (16, 4.9 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (16, 5.1 shows)
Taste That Surrounds (14, 79.4 shows)
Sweet Adeline (13, 41.1 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (13, 8.5 shows)
The Lizards (13, 14.4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (13, 5.1 shows)
The Squirming Coil (13, 9.3 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (12, 5 shows)
The Curtain (11, 34.7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (11, 5.2 shows)
Fire (10, 27.8 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (10, 13.4 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (10, 8.3 shows)
I'm Blue, I'm Lonesome (9, 92.6 shows)
Uncle Pen (9, 31.7 shows)
Guyute (9, 9.6 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (8, 16.6 shows)
Horn (7, 12.6 shows)
I Didn't Know (7, 19.8 shows)
Dog Faced Boy (7, 39.7 shows)
Foam (7, 19.8 shows)
Acoustic Army (7, 158.7 shows)
Amazing Grace (7, 92.6 shows)
NICU (7, 8.4 shows)
Suspicious Minds (6, 138.9 shows)
The Mango Song (6, 22.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.