Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1993-07-15, Cayuga County Fairgrounds were:
Hold Your Head Up (153, 6.3 shows)
Tweezer (46, 4.6 shows)
Sweet Adeline (42, 12.9 shows)
Uncle Pen (40, 13.3 shows)
Fee (34, 10 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (34, 5 shows)
All Things Reconsidered (33, 27.4 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (30, 5.9 shows)
My Sweet One (29, 16.9 shows)
Divided Sky (29, 6 shows)
The Lizards (27, 9.7 shows)
Buried Alive (27, 15.6 shows)
Lawn Boy (24, 10.1 shows)
The Landlady (23, 30.3 shows)
Love You (23, 37.4 shows)
Rocky Top (21, 12.8 shows)
Fast Enough for You (20, 18.2 shows)
Horn (20, 10.9 shows)
Axilla (20, 12.6 shows)
Fluffhead (20, 8.5 shows)
Paul and Silas (20, 36.5 shows)
Fly Famous Mockingbird (20, 28.5 shows)
Wilson (19, 6.6 shows)
Esther (18, 23 shows)
Carolina (17, 43.1 shows)
Colonel Forbin's Ascent (17, 28.5 shows)
Terrapin (16, 59.3 shows)
Harry Hood (16, 4.3 shows)
The Man Who Stepped Into Yesterday (16, 33.9 shows)
The Curtain (16, 20.3 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (15, 8.9 shows)
Sample in a Jar (14, 4.6 shows)
Weigh (13, 36.5 shows)
The Sloth (13, 19.5 shows)
Cracklin' Rosie (12, 49.1 shows)
Fire (11, 21.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 13% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.