Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1993-04-20, Newport Music Hall were:
Runaway Jim (60, 5 shows)
David Bowie (53, 4.6 shows)
My Sweet One (35, 15.9 shows)
Cold as Ice (33, 73 shows)
Buried Alive (27, 15.4 shows)
Fly Famous Mockingbird (23, 26.5 shows)
Lawn Boy (21, 10.2 shows)
Paul and Silas (21, 34.7 shows)
Fluffhead (21, 8.5 shows)
Fast Enough for You (20, 18.7 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (20, 12.1 shows)
Terrapin (20, 50.3 shows)
Colonel Forbin's Ascent (19, 26.5 shows)
The Sloth (17, 18.7 shows)
Carolina (17, 41.7 shows)
Lengthwise (16, 45.6 shows)
The Man Who Stepped Into Yesterday (16, 33.9 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (13, 9.2 shows)
Memories (12, 85.8 shows)
Tela (12, 25.2 shows)
Weigh (11, 35.6 shows)
Take the 'A' Train (10, 112.2 shows)
Sleeping Monkey (10, 17.2 shows)
Fire (10, 22.4 shows)
Dinner and a Movie (10, 47.1 shows)
I Walk the Line (10, 145.9 shows)
Harpua (9, 42.9 shows)
Contact (9, 18.9 shows)
Secret Language Instructions (8, 243.2 shows)
Bold As Love (8, 27 shows)
Avenu Malkenu (8, 34.7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 6.2 shows)
The Wedge (8, 11.1 shows)
Loving Cup (8, 9.7 shows)
If I Only Had a Brain (7, 121.6 shows)
The Vibration of Life (6, 66.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 29% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.