Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2015-12-30, Madison Square Garden were:
Mike's Song (7, 6.5 shows)
Possum (7, 5.6 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (7, 6 shows)
Stash (6, 7.4 shows)
Maze (6, 7.7 shows)
Sand (5, 5.1 shows)
Farmhouse (5, 11.8 shows)
Birds of a Feather (5, 9.6 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (5, 44.4 shows)
Julius (5, 10.8 shows)
Simple (5, 6.6 shows)
Sample in a Jar (5, 11.1 shows)
Reba (5, 9.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (4, 7.6 shows)
David Bowie (4, 9.9 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (4, 9.3 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 6.7 shows)
Cavern (4, 8.1 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (4, 8.7 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 10.1 shows)
Rift (4, 9.6 shows)
Cities (4, 13.7 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 13.1 shows)
First Tube (4, 7 shows)
What's the Use? (3, 8.1 shows)
Axilla (3, 18.7 shows)
Dirt (3, 23.7 shows)
Bug (3, 11.1 shows)
How Many People Are You (3, 35.5 shows)
Heavy Things (3, 16.9 shows)
The Dogs (3, 25.4 shows)
Shade (3, 12.2 shows)
Meatstick (3, 15.4 shows)
Poor Heart (3, 19.7 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (3, 8.9 shows)
Big Black Furry Creature from Mars (2, 35.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 37% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!


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