Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to be played at the next show are:

Possum (15, 4.7 shows)
Tweezer (12, 6.5 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (12, 5.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (11, 6.5 shows)
Harry Hood (11, 7.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (11, 7.1 shows)
Sample in a Jar (10, 7.1 shows)
Rock and Roll (9, 7.9 shows)
Tube (8, 8.9 shows)
Carini (7, 10.1 shows)
Reba (6, 11.8 shows)
Cities (6, 11.8 shows)
Stash (6, 11.8 shows)
Free (6, 11.8 shows)
NICU (6, 11.8 shows)
Timber (Jerry) (6, 11.8 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 11.8 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 14.2 shows)
Bug (5, 14.2 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 14.2 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 14.2 shows)
Meatstick (5, 14.2 shows)
Mound (5, 17.8 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 17.8 shows)
Split Open and Melt (4, 17.8 shows)
A Day in the Life (4, 17.8 shows)
Waves (4, 17.8 shows)
Gumbo (4, 17.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 17.8 shows)
Peaches en Regalia (4, 17.8 shows)
Poor Heart (4, 17.8 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (3, 35.5 shows)
Roggae (3, 23.7 shows)
Foam (3, 23.7 shows)
No Quarter (3, 23.7 shows)
It's Ice (3, 23.7 shows)

The number is parenthesis is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!

This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.