Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to be played at the next show are:

Possum (15, 4.7 shows)
Tweezer (12, 6.5 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (12, 5.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (11, 6.5 shows)
Harry Hood (11, 7.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (11, 7.1 shows)
Sample in a Jar (10, 7.1 shows)
Rock and Roll (9, 7.9 shows)
Tube (8, 8.9 shows)
Carini (7, 10.1 shows)
Stash (6, 11.8 shows)
Free (6, 11.8 shows)
NICU (6, 11.8 shows)
Timber (Jerry) (6, 11.8 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 11.8 shows)
Reba (6, 11.8 shows)
Cities (6, 11.8 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 14.2 shows)
Bug (5, 14.2 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 14.2 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 14.2 shows)
Meatstick (5, 14.2 shows)
Mound (5, 17.8 shows)
A Day in the Life (4, 17.8 shows)
Waves (4, 17.8 shows)
Gumbo (4, 17.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 17.8 shows)
Poor Heart (4, 17.8 shows)
Peaches en Regalia (4, 17.8 shows)
Split Open and Melt (4, 17.8 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 17.8 shows)
Foam (3, 23.7 shows)
No Quarter (3, 23.7 shows)
It's Ice (3, 23.7 shows)
Rocky Top (3, 23.7 shows)
The Ballad of Curtis Loew (3, 23.7 shows)

The number is parenthesis is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!

This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.