Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-07-22, Molson Canadian Amphitheatre were:
Chalk Dust Torture (11, 4.3 shows)
Tweezer (8, 5.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 5.2 shows)
Runaway Jim (7, 9.7 shows)
Rock and Roll (7, 13.7 shows)
Sand (7, 4.8 shows)
Sample in a Jar (7, 9 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 5.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 7.7 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.8 shows)
Free (6, 4.8 shows)
Roses Are Free (6, 25.3 shows)
Silent in the Morning (6, 14.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 7.8 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (5, 11 shows)
Stash (5, 6.4 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 11.8 shows)
Fluffhead (5, 9.9 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 8.3 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 12 shows)
Nellie Kane (5, 24.1 shows)
Tube (5, 5.3 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (4, 12 shows)
Carini (4, 5.3 shows)
The Horse (4, 22 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.9 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 9.5 shows)
Alaska (4, 31.6 shows)
Ya Mar (4, 14.9 shows)
Axilla (4, 16.9 shows)
Reba (4, 8.6 shows)
Sugar Shack (3, 22 shows)
Split Open and Melt (3, 9 shows)
Ride Captain Ride (3, 126.5 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (3, 42.2 shows)
Bug (3, 10.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 46% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.