Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-07-14, Merriweather Post Pavilion were:
Run Like an Antelope (8, 5.6 shows)
The Moma Dance (7, 4.6 shows)
Rift (6, 7.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 9.7 shows)
Funky Bitch (6, 9 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (5, 14.9 shows)
Back on the Train (5, 5.9 shows)
Silent in the Morning (5, 14.5 shows)
Wilson (5, 8.7 shows)
Piper (5, 6.1 shows)
Golden Age (5, 7.3 shows)
AC/DC Bag (5, 9.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 7.8 shows)
Roses Are Free (5, 25.3 shows)
Twist (5, 4.8 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9.5 shows)
Mound (4, 24.1 shows)
Nellie Kane (4, 24.1 shows)
Tube (4, 5.3 shows)
Limb By Limb (4, 11.8 shows)
Ghost (4, 4.4 shows)
Carini (4, 5.3 shows)
The Horse (4, 22 shows)
Stash (4, 6.4 shows)
Fluffhead (4, 9.9 shows)
Loving Cup (4, 11.8 shows)
Walk Away (3, 33.7 shows)
Meatstick (3, 13 shows)
First Tube (3, 6.9 shows)
Bug (3, 10.8 shows)
Alaska (3, 31.6 shows)
Divided Sky (3, 9.5 shows)
Show of Life (3, 33.7 shows)
Crowd Control (3, 31.6 shows)
Ride Captain Ride (3, 126.5 shows)
Heavy Things (3, 13.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 61% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.