Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2012-12-28, Madison Square Garden were:
Axilla (10, 14.3 shows)
Julius (10, 8.3 shows)
Wilson (9, 8.3 shows)
Twist (9, 4.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (9, 5.6 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (9, 7.7 shows)
Tube (8, 5.3 shows)
David Bowie (8, 7.4 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 4.8 shows)
Cavern (8, 6.7 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 5.2 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (7, 31.1 shows)
Rock and Roll (7, 12.9 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 7.7 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (6, 17.6 shows)
Loving Cup (6, 11.2 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 7.7 shows)
Heavy Things (6, 12.9 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (6, 44 shows)
Gumbo (5, 12.6 shows)
Joy (5, 15.1 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (5, 12 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (5, 12.6 shows)
Cities (5, 11.7 shows)
Stash (5, 6.4 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 11.5 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 11.7 shows)
Simple (4, 7.3 shows)
Show of Life (4, 29.3 shows)
Sneakin' Sally Through the Alley (4, 20.3 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (4, 16.5 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9.6 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 11.5 shows)
If I Could (4, 27.8 shows)
Scent of a Mule (4, 22 shows)
Reba (4, 8.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 39% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.