Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2004-06-26, Alpine Valley Music Theatre were:
Chalk Dust Torture (11, 4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (10, 4.6 shows)
Wilson (10, 6.8 shows)
Tweezer (10, 4.7 shows)
Harry Hood (9, 4 shows)
Piper (9, 5.3 shows)
Frankenstein (8, 30.1 shows)
Waves (8, 14.8 shows)
Divided Sky (8, 7.1 shows)
Twist (8, 5.1 shows)
Taste (8, 13.1 shows)
Stash (7, 5.8 shows)
Ghost (7, 4.5 shows)
Free (7, 4.9 shows)
Runaway Jim (7, 8.1 shows)
Water in the Sky (7, 16.1 shows)
Character Zero (6, 4.5 shows)
Secret Smile (6, 80.3 shows)
Horn (6, 14.5 shows)
Two Versions of Me (6, 90.4 shows)
Bug (6, 10 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 8 shows)
Possum (6, 4.2 shows)
Friday (6, 72.3 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (6, 31.4 shows)
NICU (6, 9.8 shows)
Guyute (5, 19 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (5, 23.3 shows)
Maze (5, 6.8 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (5, 10.6 shows)
Reba (5, 7.5 shows)
The Moma Dance (5, 4.6 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (5, 15.1 shows)
Carini (4, 5.7 shows)
Discern (4, 180.8 shows)
Dirt (4, 21.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 80% of the actual 15-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.