Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2004-06-21, Ed Sullivan Theater were:
Weekapaug Groove (9, 4.8 shows)
Frankenstein (8, 30.1 shows)
Divided Sky (8, 7.1 shows)
Mike's Song (8, 4.9 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (8, 12.5 shows)
Sample in a Jar (8, 6.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 5.2 shows)
Free (7, 4.9 shows)
Possum (6, 4.2 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 8 shows)
Two Versions of Me (6, 90.4 shows)
Friday (6, 72.3 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (6, 31.4 shows)
Secret Smile (6, 80.3 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 4.8 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (5, 23.3 shows)
Anything But Me (5, 80.3 shows)
Maze (5, 6.8 shows)
Guyute (5, 19 shows)
Rock and Roll (5, 9.3 shows)
46 Days (5, 4.7 shows)
Ya Mar (5, 12.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (5, 4.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (5, 4.9 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (5, 10.6 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 9 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 10.3 shows)
Simple (4, 7.6 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 7.3 shows)
Waste (4, 12.5 shows)
Discern (4, 180.8 shows)
The Squirming Coil (4, 11 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 7.5 shows)
Dirt (4, 21.9 shows)
Llama (4, 18.1 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (4, 5.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 17% of the actual 6-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.