Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2003-07-10, Shoreline Amphitheatre were:
All of These Dreams (4, 48.4 shows)
Pebbles and Marbles (4, 23.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (4, 4.8 shows)
Water in the Sky (3, 15.4 shows)
Wilson (3, 6.8 shows)
The Squirming Coil (3, 11 shows)
Divided Sky (3, 7.2 shows)
Lawn Boy (3, 10.1 shows)
Free (3, 4.9 shows)
Seven Below (3, 14.5 shows)
Rock and Roll (3, 9.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (3, 8.1 shows)
The Moma Dance (3, 4.7 shows)
Friday (3, 55.8 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (3, 10.5 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (3, 21.4 shows)
Round Room (3, 103.7 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (3, 8.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (3, 5.3 shows)
Mexican Cousin (3, 48.4 shows)
46 Days (3, 4.8 shows)
Thunderhead (3, 103.7 shows)
Ghost (2, 4.7 shows)
Cavern (2, 6 shows)
NICU (2, 9.7 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (2, 7 shows)
Foam (2, 21.4 shows)
Back on the Train (2, 5.9 shows)
It's Ice (2, 15.4 shows)
Heavy Things (2, 11.5 shows)
Rift (2, 7.8 shows)
Bug (2, 10.1 shows)
Contact (2, 27.9 shows)
Llama (2, 18.2 shows)
Maze (2, 6.9 shows)
Ya Mar (2, 13.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 69% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.