Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2003-03-01, Greensboro Coliseum were:
Down with Disease (5, 4.3 shows)
All of These Dreams (4, 48.4 shows)
Sample in a Jar (4, 6.6 shows)
Limb By Limb (4, 8.9 shows)
Piper (3, 5.3 shows)
Anything But Me (3, 60.5 shows)
Possum (3, 4.3 shows)
Friday (3, 55.8 shows)
Free (3, 4.9 shows)
Carini (3, 5.9 shows)
Twist (3, 5.2 shows)
Seven Below (3, 14.5 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (3, 4.5 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (3, 4.8 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (3, 4 shows)
It's Ice (2, 15.4 shows)
Heavy Things (2, 11.5 shows)
Fast Enough for You (2, 34.6 shows)
Simple (2, 7.7 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (2, 10.5 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (2, 5.3 shows)
Cavern (2, 6 shows)
Bug (2, 10.1 shows)
Rift (2, 7.8 shows)
Lawn Boy (2, 10.1 shows)
Divided Sky (2, 7.2 shows)
Wilson (2, 6.8 shows)
Llama (2, 18.2 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (2, 10.7 shows)
NICU (2, 9.7 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (2, 4.9 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (2, 20.7 shows)
Rock and Roll (2, 9.3 shows)
Mike's Song (2, 5.1 shows)
Farmhouse (1, 14 shows)
Time Loves a Hero (1, 181.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 62% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.